Friday, May 11, 2012

Reading Presidential Polls

Obviously there's a long way to go. But there's no reason why you can't have some fun watching the trends in terms of who has the advantage between Obama and Romney.

 Real Clear Politics has a nifty little tracker that shows the results of every major poll that has been taken that week.

But which polls are the most accurate? Well, if you take the results of the 2008 election where Obama won the popular vote by 7.3% and then compare them to the last polls taken before Election Day, here's the breakdown.

 Rassmussen/Pew - Obama by 6%
 Fox News/CNN/Ipsos - Obama by 7%
 NBC/WSJ/IDB - Obama By 8%
 CBS/Marist/ABC - Obama by 9%
 Gallup/Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby/NYT - Obama by 11%

 If you want a historical perspective examining how all of the incumbent president's were faring during their days in office, this USA Today gadget is awesome.

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